Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.312841 4.214589e-01 0.547918 0.703659 0.887935 1.096760 1.348979
2025-11-16 0.177272 3.068402e-01 0.482255 0.725966 1.044778 1.437204 1.945967
2025-11-23 0.093776 2.174557e-01 0.414355 0.721356 1.159755 1.736870 2.526796
2025-11-30 0.056276 1.753316e-01 0.395425 0.772948 1.349465 2.146128 3.278241
2025-12-07 0.031403 1.382313e-01 0.369583 0.804375 1.509488 2.525150 4.013971
2025-12-14 0.015507 1.053086e-01 0.337119 0.814517 1.633773 2.858912 4.704353
2025-12-21 0.006068 7.566278e-02 0.296942 0.799269 1.711476 3.125680 5.310921
2025-12-28 0.002269 5.828351e-02 0.275767 0.812748 1.833841 3.462355 6.028534
2026-01-04 0.000553 4.330913e-02 0.251908 0.813833 1.931872 3.763887 6.704160
2026-01-11 0.000028 2.898261e-02 0.219008 0.786099 1.972695 3.974535 7.250218
2026-01-18 NaN 1.923121e-02 0.192717 0.765559 2.021797 4.197669 7.819810
2026-01-25 NaN 1.365688e-02 0.177881 0.768824 2.114843 4.495004 8.510246
2026-02-01 NaN 7.869017e-03 0.152715 0.738843 2.141122 4.686378 9.051579
2026-02-08 NaN 6.150798e-03 0.151065 0.775244 2.306339 5.121736 9.989506
2026-02-15 NaN 3.862604e-03 0.139062 0.777246 2.399043 5.435537 10.744401
2026-02-22 NaN 3.368561e-03 0.144296 0.835239 2.616269 5.974844 11.872599
2026-03-01 NaN 2.515614e-03 0.142715 0.870331 2.785511 6.434834 12.883867
2026-03-08 NaN 1.554159e-03 0.134895 0.882039 2.903231 6.806690 13.761069
2026-03-15 NaN 6.983932e-04 0.120709 0.866418 2.957023 7.064596 14.458289
2026-03-22 NaN 3.664211e-04 0.115015 0.880934 3.080864 7.453151 15.377049
2026-03-29 NaN 1.383410e-04 0.106693 0.882213 3.172788 7.784979 16.207958
2026-04-05 NaN 1.572008e-05 0.092454 0.852930 3.187805 7.973459 16.804046
2026-04-12 NaN 3.288195e-08 0.081114 0.831213 3.218429 8.190937 17.451927